The best ‘TELL’ on future economic activity.

Everyone has their favorite ‘TELL’ about what will happen with the economy.

But nobody really has a crystal ball.

Some watch what they feel is the smart money and monkey see, monkey do.

How do you get that insider info ? You don’t.

It’s normally starring you in the face. But not for the timid or the uninformed about energy markets.

To understand any one market, it has to be looked at comprehensively.

But all those other markets rely on one thing. Energy.

You can use the futures market for oil. But that is not going to tell you what is actually going to happen.

Just what the future expectations for the demand of energy.

When they view a slower economic activity, demand will go down barring some other outside force and the potential for someone to cut production in the world supply.

And so the price of oil futures. Details to also watch to know the validity of the indicator. So you do need to know if any change is the result of production changes or even transportation of it.

Right now someone, it seems, even many are viewing economic output to lower worldwide as the price of oil has fallen $5 in 5 hours. And the trading  day is not over.

This guide has always severed me well, but not really telling the future, but rather what other big money thinks of it.

So, the tariffs are on !

Why tariffs ?

 

We in US get angry when Japan, China or others subsidize goods.

We call it dumping.

 

The US subsides MILK and many other agricultural products including corn & sugar.

So when Canada tariffs US milk, it was to protect it’s farmers from US dumping.

If we are going to look at what is fair, the place to start is inward for starters.

Nobody is telling you why countries put tariffs on US goods in the first place. You should know this before forming opinions.

 

SO, you want to promote things made in the US ? Sounds good right ?

Why tariff fish that only comes from particular seas in the world, because that is where the fish live.

You can’t make them in the US or a body of water in the US.

You might just see a retaliation of some counties chasing the US fishermen out of their seas.

 

While I have said the next part many times over the years, it still holds true now.

The US subsidizes Sugar.

We also subsidize corn in different ways. Mostly now through in the production of Methanol. It was political move to support farmers who overproduce.

But corn is the most inefficient method or product to make it from.

But SUGAR is perhaps the most efficient product to make it from.

You can drop the subsidy to both and save the taxpayers while supporting the sugar farmers expand their market.

Just make sure it comes from US sugar producers.

There is no desire to do so when the taxpayer has their back.

 

But know a subsidy is always going to get a reaction when trading partners are effected by them.

The US has only itself to blame for ‘MOST’ but not all of them.

Free trade is a political buzzword, but not a reality by the US’s own standards.

So all the surplus in agricultural exports are paid for by the US taxpayer.

One would think if Musk wanted to save money for tax breaks fr the rich, that would be a good place to start.

But that would take away money from those that get rich on the back of the taxpayer wouldn’t it.

Musk does understand that very well I think. Na… probably not. And those would take a act of congress, currently controlled by those who call themselves ‘free traders’, but are far from it.

Why does everything have to be opposite of the stated positions. To fool you. And it works.

 

The markets are not going to like this for at the least all the uncertainty.

But the reality is that is takes years of planning and building to get industry relocated here in the US. They did not disappear over night and many moved away with the help of the Republican congress during the Bush Jr admin. Yea, the lobbyist got their way.

So you better be prepared for 6 years of severe issues if this continues, but the immediate shock could spiral the US economy into a recession that may be very hard to come back from.

Who you gonna borrow money from to spike industrial activity ? CHINA ? They may well own us by then.

 

We will see how this plays in congress when the big money donors start barking in their ear, and perhaps aloud if that does not work.

ATSC TV and Electronic Program Guide (EPG)

Over the Air (OTA) Electronic Program Guides (EPG) are not included on all TV’s and have not been ever since someone found they can profit by forcing you to use internet based guides where private info about what you are looking to watch and likely what you are watching can be made a commodity.

The OTA EPG is included in the ATSC signal data by every broadcast station. The fact that manufactures are being subsidized to not include this is a questionable act. Since it costs more to do a internet based system, where someone can profit from user info. Just like tracking your actions on the web.

Do your homework, because if it does not say it has a ‘OTA’ EPG, it does not. You will need a internet connection to the device to get it. There is no other way.
It is true many ATSC converter boxes have OTA EPG’s and they are cheap. Many even offer DVR capability. with the addition of external storage. For many that got ripped off getting a TV without OTA EPG, it perhaps is the best option.

Until enough people demand a change, it will continue. There is profit in this for someone.

I am just wondering how they will manipulate the new ATSC3 protocol. They will because they can. Nobody is stopping them.

The Truth about Social Security Fraud

I don’t think I can add words to this as he said it best…

 

One should ask, Where are the prosecutions for FRAUD ?

The Trump Admin in 6 weeks

While I have picked at many of these topics, and was about to write something to put this all in a comprehensive view.

But i found someone who had done this just before I took to typing and likely did a better job than I would have done.

How do you TRUST a nation that turns on a dime ? Meet the new leaders of the FREE WORLD.

For 3/4 of a century, most of the world and more importantly our largest assets of friendly trading nations have grown and prospered because they not only knew that they could trust the US for, how far and how deep as well as the US to them.

While Trump may in the end, even if he does not keep tariffs on the slate for our closest trading partners, has damaged this relationship permanently.

As you will also see in the business world, they like reliability and steadfast positions makeing the relationship predictable.

Unpredictability makes investment decisions slow or halt, which will eventually show itself in the US economy, not that you can’t see signs of it more immediately.

This whole mess mow has a divestment in some US defense contractors in favor of European defense contractors. And that will eventually mean less control of what happens with weapons and who develops the better systems in need.

Need I remind anyone that just 6 years ago, Trump himself negotiated a trade deal with Canada and Mexico, or should I say he tore up the old NAFTA for a new MCA.

And now it is he himself, out of the blue is breaking it.

That is just how Putin makes peace deals. So can you even trust his written deal ? And you can clearly see that 18 of the most influential nations of the world do not trust Putin’s peace deals.

They have only been designed to stop a previous bad plan as they regroup to do it better latter.

Know that you will never, ever regain the level of trust the US had in the world, not that a good face will not be painted on future progress.

But it is perhaps a good thing for Europe as they quickly realize how much they have relaxed and became overly dependent on the US. But it does come with consequences for the US economy.

 

Really, you should look at this very close. Europe now can not rely on US nuclear defense so much so and so quickly they are going to build their own. So much for limiting the number of nations that have nuclear capability. There are so many far reaching, not clearly visible implications to what has happened in the past weeks, some of which many of us can’t directly see. We will see it when it happens I guess. All of the staples that kept the world together as a complex working part are now in question.

Europe is definitely better off in the end if they can fill the potential void quickly enough. And the US’s role in the world is diminished as you might expect.

I will go so far as to make this bold statement…

Meet the NEW leaders of the FREE WORLD

The new leaders of the FREE WORLD