Going three years in, why Russia is loosing the longer war

Right now Jan 2023, Putler needs to send 25k new recruits PER MONTH to the line just to keep up with his losses.

It can be said he can keep up that rate for now.
The problem is that there is not enough ‘experience’ in the field making tactical decisions.
And what there is, has been mostly overturned by political decisions. These are the areas of the highest losses.

That leaves you with whatever training you provided between recruitment and deployment. A set-up for failure.

I will compare that just a bit to a resent event where 2 M-2’s came to battle with a T-90.
When they were suddenly in short range of the T-90, one of them scooted being so surprised, the other was left with no escape and not much choice but to attack or be taken out by the massive smooth-bore gun.

An interview with M-2 commander revealed he was a fresh recruit (2 weeks) in the M2, having only left his training in Germany weeks before this engagement.

Out of the armor piercing ammo, he was left with standard rounds.
He said he remembered all of his training very well and went straight to “blind” the T90 operator by striking the reactive armor near his sights with the 25mm gun they have with the remaining standard ammo. You can’t shoot if you can’t see. And then hammered the turret till it was out of control. It worked and the crew evacuated the T-90 and left after roaming blindly and striking a tree.

While this might not be an good example of experience, know that you need one of the two to have a chance to survive war.
Experience or training. Training is a pre-emptive way to gain experience you do not have.

Russia continues to have less of both. This is not a good recipe.
The whole while Ukraine is gaining in both mainly because of their survive-ability and that started with good training. But it also requires good medics near the line for experience to be realized.

You can’t gain experience if you don’t live long enough to achieve it.
And that is unlikely if you have little to no training. And not enough Medics in the field. A undervalued resource for Russia it seems.
It could be said that it’s hard to turn them into cannon fodder if they are trained well enough. So you might see what the intention is with new recruits.

6 months may be considered a crash course. These fellas might be lucky to get 3 months, and proper equipment for fighting or surviving.

You can see, walk and shoot, so you are on the line. Oh yea… duck when required.

Enough training to keep them alive and  how to maneuver using the obstacles the environment provided up to the point of the highest risk and death.

Trust in command will eventually erode to the point they can not fight anymore.

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