The current situation in Ukraine – Standing and Funding

Ukraine sent hundreds of drones over the border targeting refineries and energy infrastructure to quash Russia’s ability to finance war production. Seems the primary target this round.

And of course this right before Russian elections. Where Putin once again rattles NUKES.
This announcement sounded a bit weaker than any before. I invite anyone to read the text of it. Because of the election ? It’s your guess but surprising anyway.

Ukraine has been pretty consistent at taking out energy infrastructure over the last 4-5 months now. Both in terms of fuel for the front and export ability.

It can be said that Russia had just as many issues heating their homes as Ukraine did this past winter. But only in certain areas. But nothing like the year before for Ukraine.

That is due to the fact they can not launch as many missiles from the Black Sea or west Crimea. It’s stuck launching them from sub’s in the Black Sea and land based launches that come from the homeland or areas around the sea of Azov where air protection for the bridge is high.

So, the impact from last night likely will not be seen or felt for at least 30 days. But if Ukraine can preform these even once a month, it would be devastating. I think they have the ability to do them up to 3 times a month. But likely a delay to obtain intel on how effective each was to know if they need to re-target the same area. This would delay them a bit.

As it is now, Russia will need to re-allocate resources to defend key infrastructure. I’m sure they are scratching their heads right now to come up with an answer, but I think they are running low on options. They simply do not have the ability to counter high numbers of these drones.

As a discharge petition gets started in the HOUSE to force the foreign aid bill, which looks to have a reasonable chance of not only forcing the vote, but passing because of the days ago announcement of one GOP member (Buck) that was set to not run for re-election, is now going to resign Saturday. Meaning the GOP can only loose 2 of it’s own members votes to block this. I suspect that when some know it’s going to pass, they will jump on board to save face with voters in their home district.

Fearing a GOP failure, again, they have had a time to create their own and try to get Border issues they rejected earlier injected again, only they know are unlikely to get past the democrats to confuse and quash the whole thing again. Boy, if they would only put as much effort into actually doing something over blocking everything.
https://www.axios.com/2024/03/12/dis…se-ukraine-aid

But meanwhile, Biden found the last dirt on the floor at the pentagon of 300 million in leftovers to send Ukraine in some stop-gap weapons. Likely artillery shells, ATACMS, HIMARS GMRLS among those. Perhaps only a months worth.
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/12/u…raine-war.html

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